The margins in the Premier League title race are razor-thin as Arsenal host relegation-threatened Luton Town in a midweek meeting in the English top flight.
The Gunners played out a drab scoreless draw with fellow title challengers Man City over the weekend that secured a valuable point at the Etihad Stadium but coughed up the lead in the process. Thanks to the stalemate, Liverpool took over the advantage, now in the lead by two points while Arsenal sit second and Man City are a point behind them in third.
It’s still anyone’s game, but with three teams squarely in the mix, there is no room for error, and the Gunners cannot afford a slip at any phase of the run-in regardless of opponent.
Luton Town sit 18th in the table, occupying the first relegation position, but are level with Nottingham Forest and will be scraping and clawing for every single point they can muster. The Hatters came close to a result against Arsenal’s chief rival Tottenham over the weekend, scoring three minutes in and nearly hanging on for a draw before Heung-Min Son’s 83rd minute winner dashed the dream.
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Arsenal vs Luton Town prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Arsenal (-900)
- Score prediction: Arsenal 3-1 Luton Town
If this were Arsenal teams of the recent past, we would be looking at this match as a prime trap game. Coming off an emotional and taxing scoreless draw with Man City over the weekend and the Champions League quarterfinals coming up next week, this midweek game against a plucky opponent on short rest would cause all kinds of problems.
Not this year — this Arsenal squad is just built different. Mikel Arteta has strengthened the resolve of this side, and they are less prone to mental lapses of such damaging proportions. Not immune, mind you, as defeats to Fulham, Aston Villa, and West Ham prove. But most of Arsenal’s slips this year came on the road, largely during their mid-December lull from which they’ve fully recovered.
| BetMGM (USA) |
|
| Arsenal win | -900 |
| Draw | +950 |
| Luton win | +2000 |
| Both teams to score Y/N |
+100 / -145 |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals |
-150 / +110 |
| Arsenal -2.5 goals |
-125 |
| Luton +2.5 goals |
-110 |
Arsenal vs Luton Town match facts
- Date: Wednesday, April 3, 2024
- Kickoff time: 7:30 p.m. local (2:30 p.m. ET / 11:30 a.m. PT)
- Location: Emirates Stadium (London, England)
- Referee: Craig Pawson, VAR: Tim Robinson
- Last meeting: Luton Town 3-4 Arsenal (Dec. 5, 2023 | Premier League)
Arsenal vs Luton Town best bet
- Pick: Both teams to score & over 2.5 total goals
- Odds: +120 (BetMGM)
Don’t be fooled by Arsenal’s possessional struggles against Man City — against any other opponent at any other venue, they are the ones to dominate on the ball. The Gunners should have an attacking resurgence here against a pesky but defensively porous opponent, but the betting market has overcompensated to such an end.
Thus, with goal markets completely flooded, we have to pair the over with both teams to score. The Gunners have performed very well at the back this season, especially at home, but Luton have managed to breach the toughest of defences this year, including Liverpool, Man City, Nottingham Forest, and Aston Villa.
Meanwhile, Arsenal have 11 clean sheet victories this season in Premier League play, but they also have eight wins in which they allowed one goal to their opponent, and they conceded three in the reverse fixture against Luton back in early December, foreshadowing their eventual month-long doldrums through the festive season. The Hatters, meanwhile, have not been held off the scoresheet in the Premier League since mid-November, suffering a whopping 10 defeats in which they scored but their opponents scored more.
Arsenal vs Luton Town prop bet
- Pick: Martin Odegaard anytime assist
- Odds: +170 (FanDuel)
Assists are fluky, but in a game where Arsenal are expected to create excessive amounts of goal scoring chances, Martin Odegaard is the man to back in this situation. Arsenal are backwards in terms of their attacking flow — unlike many teams which spread around the creative load and have one or two main goal scorers, the Gunners have one or two main chance creators (Odegaard and Bukayo Saka) and many finishers.
Odegaard has created at least three chances in 11 of his last 13 Premier League games, and even managed to deliver two against Man City last time out despite Arsenal holding minimal possession. The Norwegian was exceptional in the weekend title bout, delivering a number of delicious vertical balls, and should be back to his best here with far more volume against a team he racked up an assist on five chances created last time they met.
Arsenal vs Luton Town live stream, TV channel
| TV channel | Streaming | |
| USA | USA Network, Universo | Fubo USA, NBC Sports app, Telemundo Deportes en Vivo, Universo NOW |
| Canada | — | Fubo Canada |
| UK | TNT Sports 2 | discovery+ |
U.S. rights-holders NBC Sports have earmarked this midweek match for television broadcast on USA Network, with a Spanish-language broadcast also available on Universo. Both channels are available to stream in the United States on Fubo, while they are also available on NBC’s various dedicated platforms.
In Canada, the match will be available to stream exclusively on Fubo Canada, where every match across the entirety of the 2023/24 Premier League season can be accessed.
In the UK, the broadcast rights to this match are held by TNT Sports, who place the game on TNT Sports 2 with streaming on discovery+. Meanwhile, the match between Man City and Aston Villa will be on TNT Sports 1.
