Two surprise Champions League quarterfinal participants have been drawn together to battle for a spot amongst the final four remaining as Atletico Madrid host Borussia Dortmund in Spain on Wednesday.
Neither club has been terribly impressive domestically. Madrid sit fourth in La Liga, barely clinging to a qualifying spot for next season, while Dortmund’s situation is even more dire, currently outside the Champions League spots with a fifth place standing in the Bundesliga.
Yet when it comes to European competition, neither side will lay down and die. Dortmund won a massively challenging group before knocking off PSV in the Round of 16, and Madrid impressively nudged past Inter on penalties after coming from behind to level the aggregate score in the second leg.
Antoine Griezmann’s health has been a key for Atletico Madrid, as Diego Simeone’s side has struggled without him, losing to Barcelona and Cadiz in March with the Frenchman not in the starting lineup, but he should be healthy for this game, giving the hosts a major boost.
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Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Atletico Madrid (-125)
- Score prediction: Atletico Madrid 3-2 Borussia Dortmund
Atletico Madrid are simply a different team at home than they are on the road this season, and the contrast is stark. The 3-0 thrashing by Barcelona in mid-March proved they are indeed beatable at the Metropolitano, but prior to that, just one of the club’s 11 defeats this year across all competitions, and one of their five draws, have come at home.
Dortmund have been strangely the opposite in league play, with four of their five losses coming at home, but their lone defeat in Champions League play so far came away from home, and on the whole BVB can be scored on.
| DraftKings (USA) |
|
| Atletico Madrid win | -125 |
| Draw | +280 |
| Dortmund win | +360 |
| Both teams to score Y/N |
Y: -145 N: +120 |
| Over / Under 2.5 goals |
O: -135 U: +100 |
| Atletico Madrid to advance |
-170 |
| Dortmund to advance |
+135 |
Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match facts
- Date: Wednesday, April 10, 2024
- Kickoff time: 9 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
- Location: Civitas Metropolitano (Madrid, Spain)
- Referee: Marco Guida (ITA), VAR: Paolo Valeri (ITA)
- Last meeting: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Borussia Dortmund (Nov. 6, 2018 | Champions League)
MORE: Preview PSG vs Barcelona in the other Champions League quarterfinal match today
Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund best bet
- Pick: Both teams to score — YES
- Odds: -145 (DraftKings)
While the over provides slightly more value here, there’s a good chance this match ends in a 1-1 draw, which Dortmund have played to in two of their last three UCL games. Still, there’s a great chance both sides could find the net in this first leg, while hoping to keep a lid on the match overall.
Both teams have found the net in five of Atletico Madrid’s eight Champions League matches, including two of their four home games, and both teams have proven beatable at the back all season long.
Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund prop bet
- Pick: Race to 5 corners — Borussia Dortmund
- Odds: +280 (DraftKings)
Atletico Madrid are not a vertically inclined side, but Borussia Dortmund can be, and the Spaniards will sometimes concede corners in bunches. Madrid average 5.42 corners conceded per match this season across the league and Europe, and Dortmund average 5.5 per match won.
The German side specifically has been trending in that direction of late, racking up eight corners in the weekend home defeat to Stuttgart, where they failed to score despite 16 shots worth 2.48 xG, and put up eight as well against Eintracht Frankfurt back in mid-March. They even managed four corners despite just 39% possession against Bayern Munich in the win.
Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund live stream, TV channel
This Champions League quarterfinal first leg will be streamed in English exclusively on Paramount+, as CBS Sports decided the PSG vs Barcelona game will be televised on the network instead.
In the UK, the match will be televised domestically on TNT Sports 2, and streamed on the broadcaster’s dedicated streaming service discovery+. In Canada, the exclusive broadcast provider for the UEFA Champions League is DAZN, who will stream this as they do every game across this year’s UCL competition.
