When the Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers face off in one of the three NFC wild card games this weekend, two of the better scoring offenses in the NFL will take the field.
But the Dallas offense was at its best at home, averaging 37.4 PPG. As for Green Bay, its offense was better on the road, averaging 25.3 PPG. So, there is a chance this is a high-scoring game, making it a solid one for betting on touchdown scorer props.
Let’s review a selection of Packers vs. Texans TD scorer props and a few betting recommendations.
Touchdown scorer props & odds for Packers vs. Cowboys NFC wild card game
Both offenses have the potential to put a lot of points on the scoreboard Sunday, but their respective defenses will have something to say about who scores what (or at all).
It was another solid year for Dan Quinn’s Dallas defense. The Cowboys D finished the regular season as the No. 5 scoring defense (18.5 PPG). But it was even stingier at home, allowing just 15.9 PPG.
Only two quarterbacks had 2 or more touchdown passes against Dallas at AT&T Stadium: Geno Smith (three) and Tommy DeVito (two).
As for the Packers defense, it had a pretty decent year (No. 10 in scoring — 20.6 PPG allowed) and performed relatively the same throughout the season on the road, averaging 20 PPG in the first half and 21.8 in the second.
To score 2+ touchdowns
To score a first-half touchdown
The Cowboys offense has been something special at home this season, averaging 37.4 PPG. Dak Prescott has looked like an MVP candidate, completing 73.3% of his passes and averaging 300-plus YG and 2.8 touchdowns (22 total) while throwing just three interceptions.
As for the run game, five players combined to score 12 rushing touchdowns, led by Tony Pollard with six, Rico Dowdle and KaVontae Turpin with two and Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb each chipped in one.
The Packers offense got off to a slow start but improved as the season progressed. After throwing 12 touchdowns in the first half, Love had 20 in the second, 11 of which came on the road.
Green Bay struggled to keep running backs healthy, and it showed in how well they ran the ball at times. They did not have a 100-yard rusher until Week 16, when Aaron Jones ran for 127. But Jones only had two rushing touchdowns, as did A.J. Dillon.
Jordan Love led the team in rushing touchdowns with four.
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Bet(s) to consider
CeeDee Lamb, ATTD
CeeDee Lamb, first half TD
CeeDee Lamb, to score 2+
Brandin Cooks, ATTD
Tony Pollard, ATTD
Tony Pollard, second half TD
Lamb has 12 touchdowns to his name this season, eight of which came at home (two against the Rams). Lamb failed to score at home just once, in Week 2 vs. the Jets. He and Dak Prescott are what makes the Dallas offense work. He should get into the end zone at least once, probably in the first half.
Brandin Cooks had a slow start to the season but recorded a touchdown in five of his last seven games. Jake Ferguson made plenty of big plays down the stretch but did not score in his last five games.
Pollard recorded just six rushing touchdowns this year. But it would not be shocking to see the Cowboys get out to a big lead at the half and then turn to the run game more in the second half. Pollard will likely get the bulk of his carries then and eventually punch one in.
Aaron Jones, ATTD
Aaron Jones, second-half TD
Christian Watson, ATTD
Jordan Love, ATTD
The Packers will likely feed Jones the ball like they have the last three weeks, hoping they can keep Dak Prescott off the field. He may grind out a decent day, but the Cowboys defense will hold him out of the end zone until the second half (garbage time).
Love is a long shot, but the Packers QB has shown he is not afraid to run the ball. Seeing him scramble and run for one after not finding anyone open would not be shocking.
Keep an eye on Watson’s status and make sure he’s cleared to play before betting on him. If he does, he gives the Packers a solid deep threat. It would not be shocking to see Love catch the Dallas defense off-guard with an early touchdown bomb to Watson.
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