Two highly ranked football powers on the heels of an underwhelming group-stage performance clash when France and Belgium meet in the Euro 2024 Round of 16 in Dusseldorf on Monday.
These two teams put together just one win each through their three group games, dropping points across the other four matches.
Despite the disappointing overall showing, France made it through with relative ease atop Group D. However, Belgium are only at this stage thanks to incredible luck, as their slim goal differential advantage allowed them to progress after all four Group E teams finished level on points.
At the end of 90 minutes, one of these two coaches will have a lot to answer for after an earlier-than-expected exit, while the other will be pleased to survive yet again after securing a quarterfinal berth.
France vs. Belgium prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: France (-110)
- Score prediction: France 2-1 Belgium
Les Bleus were underwhelming in the group stage, but it’s impossible to back Belgium after their repeated failures in front of goal.
The Red Devils scored just two goals in the group stage despite 48 total shots (4th best in the group stage) and 4.34 xG (8th-best in group stage). Their -2.34 xG differential is third-worst of any side in the group stage, behind just Croatia and…France.
Yes, France. Les Bleus were awful in front of net in the group stage, also only managing two goals, but Belgium’s struggles in this area go back much longer than France, making them harder to back for a turnaround. Belgium had the same problem at the 2022 World Cup, as their -3.81 xG differential (1 goal on 4.81 xG) saw them crash out in the group stage.
| BetMGM (USA) |
|
| France win (90 min) | -110 |
| Draw | +225 |
| Belgium win (90 min) | +333 |
| Both teams to score |
Y: -105 N: -135 |
| Over / Under 2.5 goals |
O: +110 U: -155 |
| France to qualify |
-225 |
| Belgium to qualify |
+175 |
France vs. Belgium match facts
- Date: Monday, Jul. 1, 2024
- Kickoff Time: 6 p.m. local (12 p.m. ET / 9 a.m. PT)
- Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Dusseldorf, Germany)
- Referee: Glenn Nyberg (NOR)
- Last meeting: Belgium 2-3 France (Oct. 7, 2021 | UEFA Nations League)
- Pick: Both teams to score — Yes
- Odds: -105 (BetMGM)
Incredibly, the betting market has wised up to the failures of these two teams in front of goal, and thus any value on the under has dried up.
While these two teams have been terrible in front of the net, they still possess plenty of attacking threat, and it’s fair to expect both sides to bag a goal.
There have been 13 goals in the last three games between these two sides, and they will both be looking to bounce back from their scoring struggles. It probably won’t look like the 4-3 final scoreline from a 2015 friendly between these two sides, but they’ll each get at least one.
France vs. Belgium prop bet
- Pick: 25+ total combined shots
- Odds: +110 (FanDuel)
- Pick: France 14+ total shots
- Odds: -120 (FanDuel)
This is incredible value for two teams that have created plenty of chances but failed to find the net. France put up 14 or more shots in all three of their group-stage games, including 15 against the Netherlands and 19 on Poland.
Belgium love to rack up a shot count as well, but they also concede them on the other end — The Red Devils were actually out-shot by Ukraine 13-12, and they conceded 14 to Romania as well. Whether they find goals remains to be seen, but this match will feature some quality end-to-end spells.
France vs. Belgium live stream, TV channel
| TV channel | Streaming | |
| USA | FS1 | Fubo USA, Fox Sports app/website, ViX |
| Canada | TSN3, TSN4, TVA Sports | TSN+, TVA+ |
| UK | ITV1, STV | ITVX, STV Player |
This Euro 2024 Round of 16 match will be televised in the United States on FS1, which can be streamed on Fubo, who are offering a FREE trial for new users. A Spanish-language broadcast is available via streaming service ViX.
In Canada, this game will be shown across TSN channels, with a French-language broadcast available on TVA Sports.
In the UK, Euro 2024 matches are split between ITV and the BBC. This match will be televised by ITV, with streaming on their dedicated platform, ITVX. In Scotland, the match will be broadcast on STV.
